by |

Early Exit Poll Rumors

For what it’s worth:

AZ CO LA PA OH FL MI NM MN WI IA NH
Kerry 45 48 42 60 52 51 51 50 58 52 49 57
Bush 55 51 57 40 48 48 47 48 40 43 49 41

If true, this looks promising for Kerry. But these don’t include early voting. And consider this disclaimer.
UPDATE: I have no idea if these numbers are accurate, but Drudge posting “Kerry in striking distance — with small lead — in Florida and Ohio” suggests they are. I suspect he would be posting hard numbers if they had Bush ahead. Moreover, Rush is also downplaying the exit polls.
UPDATE: There continues to be an Internet dispute on the validity of these numbers. Obviously Kerry isn’t going to win PA and MN by double digits. But the chatter consensus seems to be that Kerry had a small lead in the first exit poll survey. At any rate, there’s still a lot of voting yet to come.
UPDATE: A different set of numbers over at Slate. As expected, this shows things real tight in Ohio and Florida (Kerry +1). Bush leading in NC by only 2%?

Brian Arner's Weblog

Published

  1. Not the easiest post in the world to read… Someday let me show you how to spec a table in html!

Comments are closed.