Whoever the Democratic nominee is needs to make accountability a major talking point in his campaign. In the past three years we’ve had major lapses on 9/11 prevention, Iraqi WMD intelligence, Iraqi reconstruction, and corporate regulation. Yet the only high-ranking government officials Bush has fired are the ones who didn’t tote the administration’s ideological line (O’Neill and Lindsey).
The Democratic nominee needs to highlight this and promise that performance, not partisanship, will be the bench mark of his administration.
NH Polling
Daily Kos lists the latest N.H. tracking polls. There’s quite a disparity between the Zogby poll, which shows a close race for first:
Kerry 31%
Dean 28%
Clark 13%
Edwards 12%
And the American Research Group poll, which doesn’t:
Kerry 38%
Dean 20%
Edwards 16%
Clark 15%
So one, if not all, of these polls is going to be way off.
Polls suggest that: (1) Dean has reversed his slide; (2) Clark is losing ground; and (3) Edwards is inching upward. But no one is going to know for sure until tomorrow.
Iraq Update
In case you missed it with the all the Golden Globe, Bennifer, or “Friends” hoopla, here’s what happened with Iraq this weekend:
Six U.S. soldiers were killed.
Three American servicemen are missing following a helicopter crash.
The Council for Sunnis throws another wrench into reconstruction plans by demanding an end to the U.S. occupation before elections are held.
David Kay calls out the entire U.S. Iraqi intelligence apparatus for its pre-war failure. (A phenomenon Kenneth Pollack attempts to explain.) Meanwhile, Vice President Cheney continues his lies spin, while no one is held accountable for mistakes.
Other than that, things are going pretty well.
More Climate Warnings
No need to worry about the earth’s environment, just slap a few voluntary goals on industry and set our sights on the moon:
A study, which is being taken seriously by top government scientists, has uncovered a change “of remarkable amplitude” in the circulation of the waters of the North Atlantic.
Similar events in pre-history are known to have caused sudden “flips” of the climate, bringing ice ages to northern Europe within a few decades. The development – described as “the largest and most dramatic oceanic change ever measured in the era of modern instruments”, by the US Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute, which led the research – threatens to turn off the Gulf Stream, which keeps Europe’s weather mild.
If that happens, Britain and northern Europe are expected to switch abruptly to the climate of Labrador – which is on the same latitude – bringing a nightmare scenario where farmland turns to tundra and winter temperatures drop below -20C.
. . .
“Even as the earth as a whole continues to warm gradually, large regions may experience a precipitous and disruptive shift into colder climates.” The scientists, who studied the composition of the waters of the Atlantic from Greenland to Tierra del Fuego, found that they have become “very much” saltier in the tropics and subtropics and “very much” fresher towards the poles over the past 50 years.
This is alarming because the Gulf Stream is driven by cold, very salty water sinking in the North Atlantic. This pulls warm surface waters northwards, forming the current.
Spotty Service
If you thought Blogspot was unreliable in the U.S., imagine trying to use it behind the “Great Firewall.”
Osama Deal with Pakistan?
“Bush made Osama deal with Musharraf“:
Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf has struck a deal with the US not to capture Osama Bin Laden, fearing this could lead to unrest in Pakistan, according to a special investigation by The Guardian.
The paper reported Saturday that Bin Laden was being protected by three elaborate security rings manned by tribesmen stretching 192 kms in diameter in northern Pakistan.
The paper’s information is based on comments made by Mansoor Ijaz, an American of Pakistan origin who, the paper said, knows al-Qaeda better than most people and had close contacts in Pakistan’s intelligence agencies.
Ijaz believed an agreement was reached between Musharraf and US authorities shortly after Bin Laden’s flight from his stronghold Tora Bora in Afghanistan in December 2001.
The Pakistanis feared that to capture or kill Bin Laden so soon after a deeply unpopular war in Afghanistan would incite civil unrest in Pakistan and trigger a spate of revenge al-Qaida attacks on Western targets across the world.
“There was a judgment made that it would be more destabilising in the longer term. There would still be the ability to get him at a later date when it was more appropriate”, Ijaz told The Guardian .
The Americans, according to Ijaz, accepted the argument, not least because of the shift in focus to the impending war in Iraq.