{"id":536,"date":"2004-01-28T00:47:59","date_gmt":"2004-01-28T05:47:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.brianarner.com\/weblog\/wordpress\/2004\/01\/new_hampshire_wrapup\/"},"modified":"2004-01-28T00:47:59","modified_gmt":"2004-01-28T05:47:59","slug":"new_hampshire_wrapup","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.brianarner.com\/weblog\/2004\/01\/new_hampshire_wrapup\/","title":{"rendered":"New Hampshire Wrap-Up"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>New Hampshirites have enjoyed their moments of fame and made Senator Kerry their primary&#8217;s big winner.  Not only did Kerry win by a large margin, but every other candidate lost on the expectations scorecard.  Dean was supposed to make a come back in the neighboring Granite State.  Clark skipped Iowa altogether to marshal support in New Hampshire.  Edwards failed to seize a lasting wave coming out of Iowa.  Lieberman literally moved to New Hampshire, though most people didn&#8217;t notice.<br \/>\nOne entertaining aside I had during the day was trying to get the inside with the early exit polls.  Whoever took them did a better job of keeping the results secret than I expected, for the findings were not as widely available over the Internet as I expected.  That&#8217;s probably a good thing, for they turned out to be way off.  Calpundit allegedly <a href=\"http:\/\/www.calpundit.com\/archives\/003138.html\">gathered the results from several exit polls<\/a>, and averaged the totals as follows:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Kerry &#8211; 35.7<br \/>\nDean &#8211; 31.1<br \/>\nEdwards &#8211; 12.6<br \/>\nClark &#8211; 11.5<br \/>\nLieberman &#8211; 6.4<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The exits erroneously had Kerry and Dean much closer with Edwards edging Clark.  So much for their methodology.<br \/>\nIt&#8217;s going to be easy for the lazy, one-line media to now proclaim Kerry as the nominee-in-waiting.  Let&#8217;s hope that&#8217;s not the case.  I don&#8217;t have any major problems with Kerry per se, but if the Democrats settle for picking a New England candidate solely because he has momentum coming out of Iowa and New Hampshire, the party is heading for trouble this fall.  The Democratic winner needs to earn the nomination by offering a message which resonates in liberal, moderate, and conservative states.  Thus far we&#8217;ve only seen races in liberal ones.<br \/>\nWith seven states on the electoral horizon, it&#8217;s going to be interesting to see the strategies the top four candidates take.  Which states will they target?  Will they now go ofter the front runner?  Can Kerry handle the media spotlight?<br \/>\nStay tuned.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<a href=\"http:\/\/www.brianarner.com\/weblog\/2004\/01\/new_hampshire_wrapup\/\" rel=\"bookmark\" title=\"Permalink to New Hampshire Wrap-Up\"><p>New Hampshirites have enjoyed their moments of fame and made Senator Kerry their primary&#8217;s big winner. Not only did Kerry win by a large margin, but every other candidate lost on the expectations scorecard. Dean was supposed to make a come back in the neighboring Granite State. Clark skipped Iowa altogether to marshal support in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n<\/a>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-536","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-uncategorized","7":"h-entry","8":"hentry"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.brianarner.com\/weblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/536","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.brianarner.com\/weblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.brianarner.com\/weblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.brianarner.com\/weblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.brianarner.com\/weblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=536"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.brianarner.com\/weblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/536\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.brianarner.com\/weblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=536"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.brianarner.com\/weblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=536"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.brianarner.com\/weblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=536"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}