I’ve read a number of pieces which talk of high voter registration this year. Who are these new voters? I have no idea. But it’s safe to say that a lot of the people registering now are doing so because they were too young to vote in prior elections. And if Zogby’s polling is correct, that’s good news for Kerry:
Kerry leads big among 18-29 year olds (56%-31%) and Bush holds an impressive lead among 30-49 year olds (54%-38%) — but the two are tied among voters over 50.
Another interesting nugget from Zogby, the “marriage gap”:
The marriage gap is wide: Bush leads by 13 points among married voters (52%-39%) while Kerry has single voters by 27 points (57%-30%).
And in case you missed it Zogby offers a brightening picture for Kerry in the battleground states:
The latest Zogby Interactive poll puts Mr. Kerry ahead of President Bush in 13 of the 16 closely contested states — two more states than the Massachusetts senator led before the debate and the most since August.
. . .
Mr. Kerry moved ahead in two states (Ohio and Nevada) and increased his lead in seven others — though Mr. Kerry’s margin over Mr. Bush in Ohio, Arkansas and Florida was negligible — less than one percentage point. Mr. Bush’s lead narrowed in the three states (Missouri, Tennessee and West Virginia) that he remains ahead of Mr. Kerry. Overall, seven of Mr. Kerry�s leads are within the margins of error, while all of Mr. Bush�s leads are.
The race is tight, but momentum appears to be going in the right direction. Another strong debate showing tonight will help.